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Handbook of Discrete-Valued Time Series

Time Series Modelling with Unobserved Components

Time Series Modelling with Unobserved Components

Despite the unobserved components model (UCM) having many advantages over more popular forecasting techniques based on regression analysis exponential smoothing and ARIMA the UCM is not well known among practitioners outside the academic community. Time Series Modelling with Unobserved Components rectifies this deficiency by giving a practical overview of the UCM approach covering some theoretical details several applications and the software for implementing UCMs. The book’s first part discusses introductory time series and prediction theory. Unlike most other books on time series this text includes a chapter on prediction at the beginning because the problem of predicting is not limited to the field of time series analysis. The second part introduces the UCM the state space form and related algorithms. It also provides practical modeling strategies to build and select the UCM that best fits the needs of time series analysts. The third part presents real-world applications with a chapter focusing on business cycle analysis and the construction of band-pass filters using UCMs. The book also reviews software packages that offer ready-to-use procedures for UCMs as well as systems popular among statisticians and econometricians that allow general estimation of models in state space form. This book demonstrates the numerous benefits of using UCMs to model time series data. UCMs are simple to specify their results are easy to visualize and communicate to non-specialists and their forecasting performance is competitive. Moreover various types of outliers can easily be identified missing values are effortlessly managed and working contemporaneously with time series observed at different frequencies poses no problem.

GBP 44.99
1

Time Series Modeling Computation and Inference Second Edition

Time Series Modeling Computation and Inference Second Edition

Focusing on Bayesian approaches and computations using analytic and simulation-based methods for inference Time Series: Modeling Computation and Inference Second Edition integrates mainstream approaches for time series modeling with significant recent developments in methodology and applications of time series analysis. It encompasses a graduate-level account of Bayesian time series modeling analysis and forecasting a broad range of references to state-of-the-art approaches to univariate and multivariate time series analysis and contacts research frontiers in multivariate time series modeling and forecasting. It presents overviews of several classes of models and related methodology for inference statistical computation for model fitting and assessment and forecasting. It explores the connections between time- and frequency-domain approaches and develop various models and analyses using Bayesian formulations and computation including use of computations based on Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) and sequential Monte Carlo (SMC) methods. It illustrates the models and methods with examples and case studies from a variety of fields including signal processing biomedicine environmental science and finance. Along with core models and methods the book represents state-of-the art approaches to analysis and forecasting in challenging time series problems. It also demonstrates the growth of time series analysis into new application areas in recent years and contacts recent and relevant modeling developments and research challenges. New in the second edition: Expanded on aspects of core model theory and methodology. Multiple new examples and exercises. Detailed development of dynamic factor models. Updated discussion and connections with recent and current research frontiers. | Time Series Modeling Computation and Inference Second Edition

GBP 44.99
1

Nonlinear Time Series Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods

Nonlinear Time Series Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods

Useful in the theoretical and empirical analysis of nonlinear time series data semiparametric methods have received extensive attention in the economics and statistics communities over the past twenty years. Recent studies show that semiparametric methods and models may be applied to solve dimensionality reduction problems arising from using fully nonparametric models and methods. Answering the call for an up-to-date overview of the latest developments in the field Nonlinear Time Series: Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods focuses on various semiparametric methods in model estimation specification testing and selection of time series data. After a brief introduction the book examines semiparametric estimation and specification methods and then applies these approaches to a class of nonlinear continuous-time models with real-world data. It also assesses some newly proposed semiparametric estimation procedures for time series data with long-range dependence. Even though the book only deals with climatological and financial data the estimation and specifications methods discussed can be applied to models with real-world data in many disciplines. This resource covers key methods in time series analysis and provides the necessary theoretical details. The latest applied finance and financial econometrics results and applications presented in the book enable researchers and graduate students to keep abreast of developments in the field. | Nonlinear Time Series Semiparametric and Nonparametric Methods

GBP 59.99
1

Applied Bayesian Forecasting and Time Series Analysis

Applied Time Series Analysis with R

Applied Time Series Analysis with R

Virtually any random process developing chronologically can be viewed as a time series. In economics closing prices of stocks the cost of money the jobless rate and retail sales are just a few examples of many. Developed from course notes and extensively classroom-tested Applied Time Series Analysis with R Second Edition includes examples across a variety of fields develops theory and provides an R-based software package to aid in addressing time series problems in a broad spectrum of fields. The material is organized in an optimal format for graduate students in statistics as well as in the natural and social sciences to learn to use and understand the tools of applied time series analysis. FeaturesGives readers the ability to actually solve significant real-world problemsAddresses many types of nonstationary time series and cutting-edge methodologies Promotes understanding of the data and associated models rather than viewing it as the output of a black boxProvides the R package tswge available on CRAN which contains functions and over 100 real and simulated data sets to accompany the book. Extensive help regarding the use of tswge functions is provided in appendices and on an associated website. Over 150 exercises and extensive support for instructorsThe second edition includes additional real-data examples uses R-based code that helps students easily analyze data generate realizations from models and explore the associated characteristics. It also adds discussion of new advances in the analysis of long memory data and data with time-varying frequencies (TVF).

GBP 44.99
1

The Analysis of Time Series An Introduction with R

Time Series Clustering and Classification

Introduction to Time Series Using Stata Revised Edition

Hidden Markov Models for Time Series An Introduction Using R Second Edition

Hidden Markov Models for Time Series An Introduction Using R Second Edition

Hidden Markov Models for Time Series: An Introduction Using R Second Edition illustrates the great flexibility of hidden Markov models (HMMs) as general-purpose models for time series data. The book provides a broad understanding of the models and their uses. After presenting the basic model formulation the book covers estimation forecasting decoding prediction model selection and Bayesian inference for HMMs. Through examples and applications the authors describe how to extend and generalize the basic model so that it can be applied in a rich variety of situations. The book demonstrates how HMMs can be applied to a wide range of types of time series: continuous-valued circular multivariate binary bounded and unbounded counts and categorical observations. It also discusses how to employ the freely available computing environment R to carry out the computations. FeaturesPresents an accessible overview of HMMsExplores a variety of applications in ecology finance epidemiology climatology and sociologyIncludes numerous theoretical and programming exercisesProvides most of the analysed data sets onlineNew to the second editionA total of five chapters on extensions including HMMs for longitudinal data hidden semi-Markov models and models with continuous-valued state processNew case studies on animal movement rainfall occurrence and capture-recapture data | Hidden Markov Models for Time Series An Introduction Using R Second Edition

GBP 44.99
1

English Radicalism (1935-1961) Volume 5

Health Care Needs Assessment The Epidemiologically Based Needs Assessment Reviews v. 2 First Series

DSM-5-TR Made Easy The Clinician's Guide to Diagnosis

Patterns of Power Grades 1-5 Inviting Young Writers into the Conventions of Language

Patterns of Power Grades 1-5 Inviting Young Writers into the Conventions of Language

Author Jeff Anderson and literacy coach Whitney La Rocca lead a vibrant approach to grammar instruction in Patterns of Power Grades 1-5: Inviting Young Writers into the Conventions of Language. Here young emergent writers are invited to notice the conventions of the English language and build off them in this inquiry-based approach to instructional grammar. The book comes with standards-aligned lessons that can be incorporated in 10 minutes a day. Patterns of Power’s responsive invitational approach puts students in an involved role and has them explore and discuss the purpose and meaning of what they read. Students study short authentic texts and are asked to share their findings out loud engaging in rich conversations to make meaning. Inside you’ll find: Ready-to-use lesson plan sets that include excerpts from authentic and diverse mentor texts curated for grades 1-5 and can be adapted over 5 grade levels Real-life classroom examples tips and Power Notes gleaned from the authors’ experiences that can be applied to any level of writer Resources including a Patterns of Power Planning Guide and musical soundtracks to use in classroom instruction or as handouts for student literacy notebooks Patterns of Power Grades 1-5 provides a simple classroom routine that is structured in length and approach but provides teachers flexibility in choosing the texts allowing for numerous diverse voices in the classroom. The practice helps students build cognitive recognition and provides a formative assessment for teachers on student progress. With these short lessons students will grow their confidence and move beyond limitation to produce effortless writing in your class and beyond. The Patterns of Power series also includes Patterns of Power Grades 6-8: Inviting Adolescent Writers into the Conventions of Language; Patterns of Power en Español Grades 1-5: Inviting Bilingual Writers into the Conventions of Spanish; Patterns of Power Grades 9-12: Teaching Grammar Through Reading and Writing and Patterns of Wonder Grades PreK-1: Inviting Emergent Writers to Play with the Conventions of Language. | Patterns of Power Grades 1-5 Inviting Young Writers into the Conventions of Language

GBP 56.99
1

State-Space Methods for Time Series Analysis Theory Applications and Software

State-Space Methods for Time Series Analysis Theory Applications and Software

The state-space approach provides a formal framework where any result or procedure developed for a basic model can be seamlessly applied to a standard formulation written in state-space form. Moreover it can accommodate with a reasonable effort nonstandard situations such as observation errors aggregation constraints or missing in-sample values. Exploring the advantages of this approach State-Space Methods for Time Series Analysis: Theory Applications and Software presents many computational procedures that can be applied to a previously specified linear model in state-space form. After discussing the formulation of the state-space model the book illustrates the flexibility of the state-space representation and covers the main state estimation algorithms: filtering and smoothing. It then shows how to compute the Gaussian likelihood for unknown coefficients in the state-space matrices of a given model before introducing subspace methods and their application. It also discusses signal extraction describes two algorithms to obtain the VARMAX matrices corresponding to any linear state-space model and addresses several issues relating to the aggregation and disaggregation of time series. The book concludes with a cross-sectional extension to the classical state-space formulation in order to accommodate longitudinal or panel data. Missing data is a common occurrence here and the book explains imputation procedures necessary to treat missingness in both exogenous and endogenous variables. Web ResourceThe authors’ E4 MATLAB® toolbox offers all the computational procedures administrative and analytical functions and related materials for time series analysis. This flexible powerful and free software tool enables readers to replicate the practical examples in the text and apply the procedures to their own work. | State-Space Methods for Time Series Analysis Theory Applications and Software

GBP 48.99
1

Genomes 5

Genomes 5

Genomes 5 has been completely revised and updated. It is a thoroughly modern textbook about genomes and how they are investigated. As with previous Genomes editions techniques come first then genome anatomies followed by genome function and finally genome evolution. The genomes of all types of organism are covered: viruses bacteria fungi plants and animals including humans and other hominids. Genome sequencing and assembly methods have been thoroughly revised to include new developments in long-read DNA sequencing. Coverage of genome annotation emphasizes genome-wide RNA mapping with CRISPR-Cas 9 and GWAS methods of determining gene function covered. The knowledge gained from these techniques forms the basis of the chapters that describe the three main types of genomes: eukaryotic prokaryotic (including eukaryotic organelles) and viral (including mobile genetic elements). Coverage of genome expression and replication is truly genomic concentrating on the genome-wide implications of DNA packaging epigenome modifications DNA-binding proteins non-coding RNAs regulatory genome sequences and protein-protein interactions. Also included are examples of the applications of metabolomics and systems biology. The final chapter is on genome evolution including the evolution of the epigenome using genomics to study human evolution and using population genomics to advance plant breeding. Established methods of molecular biology are included if they are still relevant today and there is always an explanation as to why the method is still important. Genomes 5 is the ideal text for upper-level courses focused on genomes and genomics. Key Features A highly accessible and well-structured book with chapters organized into four parts to aid navigation Superb artwork illustrates the key concepts and mechanisms Each chapter has a set of short-answer questions and in-depth problems to test the reader’s understanding of the material Thoroughly up to date with references to the latest research from the 2020s

GBP 64.99
1

Patterns of Power en español Grades 1-5 Inviting Bilingual Writers into the Conventions of Spanish

Patterns of Power en español Grades 1-5 Inviting Bilingual Writers into the Conventions of Spanish

Author Jeff Anderson and bilingual teacher and coach Caroline Sweet lead a vibrant approach to grammar instruction in Patterns of Power en español Grades 1-5: Inviting Bilingual Writers into the Conventions of Spanish. Here young emergent writers are invited to notice the conventions of the Spanish language and build off them in this inquiry-based approach to instructional grammar. The book comes with standards-aligned lessons that can be incorporated in just 10 minutes a day. Patterns of Power’s responsive invitational approach puts students in an involved role and has them explore and discuss the purpose and meaning of what they read. Students study short authentic texts and are asked to share their findings out loud engaging in rich conversations to make meaning. Inside you’ll find: Ready-to-use lesson plan sets that include excerpts from authentic and diverse Spanish mentor texts curated for grades 1-5 and can be adapted over 5 grade levels Real-life classroom examples tips and Power Notes gleaned from the authors’ experiences that can be applied to any level of writer Resources including a Patterns of Power Planning Guide adapted for Spanish to use in classroom instruction or as handouts for student literacy notebooks How to correlate to Spanish TEKS Common Core and other state standards Patterns of Power en español Grades 1-5 provides a simple classroom routine that is structured in length and approach but provides teachers flexibility in choosing the texts allowing for numerous diverse voices in the classroom. The practice helps students build cognitive recognition and provides a formative assessment for teachers on student progress. With these short lessons students will gain confidence and move beyond limitation to produce effortless writing in your class and beyond. The Patterns of Power series also includes Patterns of Power Grades 6-8: Inviting Adolescent Writers into the Conventions of Language; Patterns of Power Grades 1-5: Inviting Young Writers into the Conventions of Language; Patterns of Power Grades 9-12: Teaching Grammar Through Reading and Writing; and Patterns of Wonder Grades PreK-1: Inviting Emergent Writers to Play with the Conventions of Language. | Patterns of Power en español Grades 1-5 Inviting Bilingual Writers into the Conventions of Spanish

GBP 48.99
1

Parametric Modeling with Siemens NX 2212 Series

Parametric Modeling with Siemens NX 2212 Series

The primary goal of Parametric Modeling with Siemens NX is to introduce the aspects of designing with Solid Modeling and Parametric Modeling. This text is intended to be used as a practical training guide for students and professionals. This text uses Siemens NX as the modeling tool and the chapters proceed in a pedagogical fashion to guide you from constructing basic solid models to building intelligent mechanical designs creating multi-view drawings and assembly models. This text takes a hands-on exercise-intensive approach to all the important Parametric Modeling techniques and concepts. This textbook contains a series of fifteen tutorial style lessons designed to introduce beginning CAD users to NX. This text is also helpful to NX users upgrading from a previous release of the software. The solid modeling techniques and concepts discussed in this text are also applicable to other parametric feature-based CAD packages. The basic premise of this book is that the more designs you create using NX the better you learn the software. With this in mind each lesson introduces a new set of commands and concepts building on previous lessons. This book does not attempt to cover all of NX’s features only to provide an introduction to the software. It is intended to help you establish a good basis for exploring and growing in the exciting field of Computer Aided Engineering. This book also introduces you to the general principles of 3D printing including a brief history of 3D printing the types of 3D printing technologies commonly used filaments and the basic procedure for printing a 3D model. 3D printing makes it easier than ever for anyone to start turning their designs into physical objects and by the end of this book you will be ready to start printing out your own designs. | Parametric Modeling with Siemens NX 2212 Series

GBP 66.99
1

Displaying Time Series Spatial and Space-Time Data with R

Displaying Time Series Spatial and Space-Time Data with R

Focusing on the exploration of data with visual methods Displaying Time Series Spatial and Space-Time Data with R Second Edition presents methods and R code for producing high-quality static graphics interactive visualizations and animations of time series spatial and space-time data. Practical examples using real-world datasets help you understand how to apply the methods and code. The book illustrates how to display a dataset starting with an easy and direct approach and progressively adds improvements that involve more complexity. Each of the three parts of the book is devoted to different types of data. In each part the chapters are grouped according to the various visualization methods or data characteristics. The first edition of this book was mainly focused on static graphics. Four years later recent developments in the htmlwidgets family of packages are covered in this second edition with many new interactive graphics. In addition the ggplot2 approach is now used in most of the spatial graphics thanks to the new sf package. Finally code has been cleaned and improved and data has been updated. Features• Offers detailed information on producing high-quality graphics interactive visualizations and animations• Uses real data from meteorological climate economic social science energy engineering environmental and epidemiological research in many practical examples• Shows how to improve graphics based on visualization theory• Provides the graphics data and R code on the author’s website enabling you to practice with the methods and modify the code to suit your own needs.

GBP 69.99
1

Emulsions and Emulsion Stability Surfactant Science Series/61

Emulsions and Emulsion Stability Surfactant Science Series/61

Emulsions and Emulsion Stability Second Edition provides comprehensive coverage of both theoretical and practical aspects of emulsions. The book presents fundamental concepts and processes in emulsified systems such as flocculation coalescence stability precipitation deposition and the evolution of droplet size distribution. The book explains how to predict emulsion stability and determine droplet sizes in a variety of emulsion systems. It discusses spontaneous emulsification and the formation of “nanoemulsions” as well as droplet-droplet interactions in different electrical fields (electrocoalescence) and the formulation composition and preparation variables that contribute to the inversion in emulsion systems. Several chapters emphasize applications such as emulsification encountered in oil spills asphalt chemical flooding acid crude oils and large-scale industrial wastewater treatment. The survey of experimental characterization methods highlights the importance of thin liquid films in colloidal systems and assesses different NMR applications ultrasound characterization video microscopy and other on-line instrumentation. The last chapter in the book deals with obtaining conductivity measurements as an alternative to online instrumentation. Completely revised and expanded this second edition of Emulsions and Emulsion Stability offers a well-rounded collection of knowledge that is applicable to all academic and industrial scientists and researchers in the fields of surfactant and emulsion science. | Emulsions and Emulsion Stability Surfactant Science Series/61

GBP 44.99
1

Final Cut Pro 5 Editing Essentials

Texts from the Querelle 1521–1615 Essential Works for the Study of Early Modern Women: Series III Part Two Volume 1

Parental Alienation and Factitious Disorder by Proxy Beyond DSM-5: Interrelated Multidimensional Diagnoses